Groundhog day prediction chart


How accurate are Groundhog Day predictions?

Well, not very. According to the USA Today, which has tracked his “predictions” since 1988, the groundhog has been “right” 13 times and “wrong” 15 times, for an accuracy rate of 46 percent. Overall, Phil’s prognostications have been correct only 39 percent of the time, according to the Stormfax Almanac.

How accurate are groundhog predictions?

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Which Groundhog is most accurate?

Stormfax, an independent almanac with Groundhog Day predictions dating back to 1887, claims Phil has been right just 39% of the time. For comparison’s sake: Prior to 2021, our “Hometown Hog” correctly predicted 10 out of 11 years, with the only black mark being 2017.

What are the results of Groundhog Day?

The independent almanac Stormfax, which has tracked all Groundhog Day results since 1887, found that Phil’s predictions have been correct just 39% of the time. The Groundhog Day celebration also became the focal point of a popular 1993 film starring Bill Murray that was named after the same event.


Did the groundhog see his shadow 2021?

Punxsutawney Phil emerged to some falling snow on Tuesday, Feb. 2, 2021, and saw his shadow, predicting six more weeks of winter. Keep your fingers crossed, Phil has predicted an early spring two out of the last three years. Not surprisingly, that’s been a rarity over the event’s 136-year history.

What is the prediction for Groundhog Day?

Groundhog Day 2022: Punxsutawney Phil predicts 6 more weeks of winter as massive storm threatens wide swath of U.S. Pennsylvania’s most famous groundhog emerged from his burrow on a cold Wednesday morning and saw his shadow, declaring there would be six more weeks of winter.

What percentage is the groundhog correct?

According to the Stormfax Almanac, that works out to a 39% accuracy rate for Phil. In the near term, the groundhog’s accuracy rate is slightly better. According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Phil has been right about 40% of the time on average over the past decade.

Are Groundhog Day predictions accurate?

Data from the Stormfax Almanac’s data shows that Phil’s six-week prognostications have been correct about 39% of the time.

Did the groundhog see his shadow this morning 2022?

Punxsutawney Phil sees shadow on Groundhog Day 2022 2, 2022, Punxsutawney Phil emerged from his tree stump with the help of his inner circle and saw his shadow — predicting six more weeks of winter — during a ceremony in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania. PUNXSUTAWNEY, Pa.

Did the groundhog see his shadow this year 2022?

This article is in your queue. Punxsutawney Phil, the groundhog that predicts the weather every February, saw its shadow Wednesday, meaning it anticipates six more weeks of winter this year. But his New York rival, Staten Island Chuck, saw it differently. He saw no shadow, his handlers said, which means early spring.

How often is Punxsutawney Phil replaced?

There has only been one Punxsutawney Phil. He has been making predictions since 1886! Punxsutawney Phil gets his longevity from drinking the “elixir of life,” a secret recipe. Phil takes one sip every summer at the Groundhog Picnic and it magically gives him seven more years of life.

How many times has groundhog been wrong?

According to the Stormfax Almanac, that works out to a 39% accuracy rate for Phil. In the near term, the groundhog’s accuracy rate is slightly better. According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Phil has been right about 40% of the time on average over the past decade.

Who is the most accurate groundhog?

The most accurate of all rodent prognosticators – General Beauregard Lee, widely considered the “Punxsutawney Phil of the South”. Lee holds a 63% accuracy rating nationally, with a 70-80% accuracy rating for certain regions of the United States.

What was the groundhog’s prediction 2022?

Groundhog handler AJ Derume holds Punxsutawney Phil, who saw his shadow, predicting a late spring during the 136th annual Groundhog Day festivities on Wednesday in Punxsutawney.

When was the last time groundhog didn’t see shadow?

In 2019, the 133rd year of the tradition, the groundhog was summoned to come out at 7:25 am on February 2, but did not see its shadow.

How accurate is the farmers almanac?

While there are various guides with their own predictions, The Old Farmer’s Almanac has been around for 230 years and claims an 80% accuracy rate for its weather predictions.

Groundhog’s Day Prediction and Graphing Activity

Groundhog’s Day Prediction and Graphing ActivityYour class can vote on their Groundhog’s Day predictions with this set of printables! Let students make their own predictions by either adding or not adding a shadow on their voting card. Your class can make a chart together, graph the results, and wri

Groundhog Day Predictions Free Class Graphing Activity

Groundhog Day in the United States is celebrated on February 2nd. Will Phil see his shadow this year? Use this cute freebie to poll your class on their Groundhog Day predictions. Then use the results to create a class graph.Inside this download you will receive:1- teacher directions2 – voting slips

Groundhog Day Prediction Crowns-Emergent Reader-Graphing

Every year I look forward to reading about Groundhog’s Day with the kids! It is fun to predict and then see what happens when old Punxsutawney Phil comes out of his den to discover if he can see his shadow or not!!! Includes: Two different Groundhog Crown Patterns (a girl and boy groundhog) …d

Groundhog Day Class Predictions & Graphing Activity

Teach your students about Groundhog Day and let them make predictions about whether the groundhog will see his shadow or not! Then, tie in some math as they tally and graph the votes. Just print and paste the groundhog signs on an anchor chart (or tape to your whiteboard). Pass out the little ground

Groundhogs Day: Prediction Graphs and Writing Paper

This packet includes a prediction graph for your class to do for Groundhogs day! It also includes 3 different writing templates if you want you students to write about their predictions on whether or not the groundhog will see his shadow!

Groundhog Day Predictions Graph Activity

Celebrate Groundhog day with this fun graphing activity. Students each make their own predictions for a class graph. There are 3 different options (just a groundhog, groundhog with sun, groundhog with cloud). Recording sheets are also included to discuss class predictions. There are 2 different opti

Groundhog Day Predictions Graph and Writing Prompt

What a better day to discuss predictions than Groundhog’s Day? In my kindergarten classroom, we each make our own mini groundhog to make a large class graph of if we think the ground will see his shadow or not. It is great for kids to have a graph of their own to complete as well, though! That is wh

How To Prepare This Resource

Use the dropdown icon on the Download button to choose between the PDF or Google Slides version of this resource.

Roll to Create a Groundhog Story

A fun, hands-on Groundhog Day activity using a die and a chart to create a narrative text.


Draw a picture graph and a bar graph (with single-unit scale) to represent a data set with up to four categories. Solve simple put-together, take-apart, and compare problems1 using information presented in a bar graph.

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Count and Graph – The Picnic

Practice collecting, sorting, and organizing data to create a graph with this 2-page worksheet.

Count and Graph – In the Classroom

Practice collecting, sorting, and organizing data to create a graph with this 2-page worksheet.

What is groundhog day?

A popular tradition in the United States, Groundhog Day is also a legend that traverses centuries, its origins clouded in the mists of time with ethnic cultures and animals awakening on specific dates. Myths such as this tie our present to the distant past when nature did, indeed, influence our lives.

When was Groundhog Day first observed?

The Punxsutawney Spirit newspaper is credited with printing the news of the first observance in 1886 (one year before the first legendary trek to Gobbler’s Knob): Today is groundhog day, and up to the time of going to press the beast has not seen his shadow.”.

How much did Sega donate to the Groundhog Club?

In 1996, Sega donated $10,000 to the Groundhog Club as Punxsutawney helped promote Sega’s newest game at the time, “Sonic the Hedgehog 3”. 1996 was also the year The Punxsutawney Groundhog Club started a website! In 1998 Groundhog Day was first broadcast live worldwide via the internet. In 2001, Phil’s prediction was shown live on …

What does it mean when the groundhog comes out of his hole?

It is the day that the Groundhog comes out of his hole after a long winter sleep to look for his shadow. If he sees it, he regards it as an omen of six more weeks of bad weather and returns to his hole.

When was Groundhog Day on Animal Planet?

This special aired on Groundhog Day, February 2nd 2017 on the Animal Planet network!

When did Phil meet Dick Thornburg?

Phil met Pennsylvania Governor Dick Thornburg in 1987. In 1993, Columbia Pictures released the movie Groundhog Day starring Bill Murray. Phil appeared on the Oprah Winfrey show in 1995. In the years following the release of the movie, record crowds numbering as high as 30,000 have visited Gobbler’s Knob in Punxsutawney!

Who was the first sitting governor to attend the Groundhog Day celebration?

Pennsylvania Governor Ed Rendell attended the ceremonies, making him the first sitting governor ever to do so. Stephen Tobolowsky, who played Ned Ryserson, in the movie Groundhog Day, attended the 2010 Groundhog Day Celebration in Punxsutawney. Danny Rubin, writer of the screenplay Groundhog Day, attended Groundhog Day 2013.

When is Groundhog Day?

Groundhog’s Day is celebrated on February 2nd in the United States and Canada. Tradition says, if the sun is out on groundhog’s day, the groundhog will see his shadow and be frightened back into his burrow — this means there will be six more weeks of winter. If the day is cloudy, it means spring has begun!

What grade should I do Groundhog’s Day?

The Groundhog’s Day graphing projects build on each other and are, therefore, suitable for grade 1 through grade 3. Grade 1 students should do the predictions and tally worksheets. Grade 2 students should do the predictions, estimation, and tally worksheets.


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